MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c953cc3126d68b6c8fde1b98aae5f7f69643ba3529188168faac4bd850a97ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Washington Nationals, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 88,286$34,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,285.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 57,216$34,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,901.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 31,120$12,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,789.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 19,793$11,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,816.96 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 18,804$12,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,696.83 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 17,843$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.63 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 16,549$9,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.48 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 14,547$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,057.92 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 14,542$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.72 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 12,359$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,234.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…81eabacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 10,240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 9,489$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,453.9 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 9,022$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 5,711$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.93 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 5,032$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 4,673$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 3,403$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.37 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 3,203$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,927$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 2,587$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 2,526$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.59 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,411$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 2,375$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.73 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,812$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.4 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,805$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 1,776$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 1,742$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Nationals | 4c | 1,697$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 1,462$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.07 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 1,280$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.55 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,156$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.16 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Washington Nationals | 5c | 1,138$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 1,079$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 993$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 949.84$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 948.37$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 937.7$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 900$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 888.97$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 851.41$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.96 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 797.87$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.15 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 775$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 749.73$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.97 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 715.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 682.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.63 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 625$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.75 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 604.74$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.46 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 598.25$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…9c49backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 597.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Washington Nationals | 8c | 550.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 510.74$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…c246backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 448.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 432.88$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.53 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 415.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 402.95$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 366$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.12 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 366$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 366$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.9 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…749dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 363.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 354.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Washington Nationals | 79c | 353.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 353.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 319.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.22 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 307.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 303.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 278.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.11 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 251$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 245.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 238.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 238.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 236$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 221.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 217.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…7afbbacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 209.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.