MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a70942639237613e9a1a7967d927689dd85a9cbe9afbeade2bf0f8494cd5e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $853,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 293,547$112,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,752.14 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 122,086$67,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,297.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 120,464$70,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,034.61 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 35,623$21,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,565.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 31,946$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.95 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 26,944$12,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,078.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 22,484$11,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,482.22 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.98 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 18,299$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.29 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 15,000$8,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,848.39 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 14,343$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 12,771$6,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640.88 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 12,531$7,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,183.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 11,581$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 5,839$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,391$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 5,275$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 5,103$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 4,450$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.42 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 4,331$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.43 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,316$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 4,229$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.03 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,547$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…8d50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 3,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…198fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 2,597$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,434$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.02 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 2,395$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.3 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 2,363$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.38 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 2,268$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,255$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.88 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,220$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 2,205$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.13 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,863$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 1,701$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.95 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,596$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.1 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,551$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.47 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,419$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.12 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,366$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.47 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,266$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.66 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,209$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.32 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,055$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.15 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,033$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 988.57$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.86 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 984.99$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.02 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 951.73$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.55 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 898.01$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.04 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 883.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 832.45$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.51 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 800.78$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.46 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 757.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 740.92$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.28 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 718.34$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 718.09$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.14 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 673.72$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 640.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 633.82$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 594.78$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 558.13$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 556.91$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 545.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.15 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 522.76$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 516.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 508.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1c89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 474.88$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.95 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 453.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 438.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 429.97$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 428.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 419.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 398.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 398.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 398$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…5cf4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 366.46$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 337.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 332.27$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 332$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 326.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 325.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 323.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 323.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.36 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 320.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 315.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 314.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.