Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x512115ff5c50bd746e881301b9d34fb9692a0402add76ccdd83f3d7cbcf6a9e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,921,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,958,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,921,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 48c | 2,264,006$1,086,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177,898.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 52c | 1,389,111$722,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722,902.74 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 52c | 610,683$317,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317,568.98 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 44c | 120,885$53,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,485.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 62c | 57,463$35,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,881.68 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 45,476$23,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,950.06 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 36,858$16,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,012.65 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 55c | 35,413$19,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,008.41 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 52c | 31,073$16,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,157.96 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 41c | 27,246$11,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,165.72 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 55c | 21,291$11,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,710.05 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 29c | 20,831$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 52c | 18,888$9,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,821.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 48c | 18,359$8,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,465.59 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 17,581$12,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 15,289$7,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,983.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 28c | 15,000$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125.01 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed No | 40c | 12,553$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 52c | 10,700$5,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,564 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +831.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 52c | 9,613$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.97 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…f06dbacked No | 1c | 9,090$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked No | 52c | 8,645$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 49c | 8,290$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 7,950$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.91 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 7,868$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.58 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 5,999$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.58 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 4,964$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.7 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 56c | 4,867$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.87 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 28c | 4,834$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.35 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 33c | 4,486$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.17 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 52c | 4,311$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked No | 41c | 3,960$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 52c | 3,689$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.83 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 52c | 3,570$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 3,328$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.59 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…1548backed Yes | 43c | 3,315$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 3,200$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 57c | 3,040$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 3,010$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 45c | 3,003$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…b01bbacked No | 57c | 2,875$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 2,784$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.72 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…5139backed No | 58c | 2,726$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 55c | 2,720$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.9 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 67c | 2,509$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.16 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 52c | 2,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 54c | 2,400$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.45 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…946fbacked No | 58c | 2,378$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 2,371$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.91 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 46c | 2,361$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.9 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…8e1dbacked No | 58c | 2,336$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…fd05backed Yes | 43c | 2,307$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…1a65backed Yes | 43c | 2,287$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 70c | 2,222$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.4 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 52c | 2,138$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.98 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…d833backed Yes | 43c | 2,090$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 55c | 2,084$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.56 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 48c | 2,063$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 74c | 1,895$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.45 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…6d9abacked Yes | 43c | 1,872$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 38c | 1,796$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Yes | 45c | 1,783$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 17c | 1,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed No | 52c | 1,648$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 26c | 1,624$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 49c | 1,605$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 1,600$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…6a78backed No | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked No | 35c | 1,537$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed No | 52c | 1,516$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,454$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.31 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 1,366$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.09 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 58c | 1,362$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 33c | 1,356$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,303$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.23 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed No | 56c | 1,283$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,275$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.03 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 1,122$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.03 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 38c | 1,084$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.09 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 49c | 972$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.72 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 52c | 967.48$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.35 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…36f9backed No | 51c | 963.08$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.