Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaadc86a1db03b8fae9e0de9f53ed22a747b6033a556955e4840726d36a7f9e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 24c | 22,380$5,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 25c | 17,768$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 17,424$13,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.48 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 11,986$9,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.74 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 11,410$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.43 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 6,082$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 4,673$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.61 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 18c | 3,153$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 2,665$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.57 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 23c | 2,320$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 24c | 2,058$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 1,916$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.27 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 76c | 1,550$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.12 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 938.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 763.7$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 682.26$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 79c | 645.87$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 24c | 630$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 76c | 620.2$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 24c | 495.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes | 20c | 490.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 76c | 456$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 80c | 449.96$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 23c | 434.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 22c | 409.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 25c | 409.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 362.25$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 24c | 358$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 18c | 342.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 320$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 21c | 297.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 77c | 276.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked No | 76c | 267.53$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 23c | 259.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…0431backed Yes | 20c | 251.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Yes | 21c | 244.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 241.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 78c | 237.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 228.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 21c | 214$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…7239backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 201.51$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 188.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 78c | 152.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 20c | 149.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 12c | 146.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 146.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 27c | 146$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 15c | 135.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed Yes | 25c | 134.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 111.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed No | 77c | 111.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 102.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 24c | 98.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 77c | 98.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 17c | 96.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 79c | 85.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…3f90backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…a727backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 25c | 79.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 24c | 71.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3962backed Yes | 24c | 71.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 76c | 60.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 21c | 60.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 60.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 48.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes | 24c | 48.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 24c | 46.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 77c | 46.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 45.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 77c | 42.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 80c | 31.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 78c | 22.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed No | 76c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…8d1dbacked No | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.