TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f63…a727

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Mls, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$61.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$48.8
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+488.2%+$49.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+203%+$40.87
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$57.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.86
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.96
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.25
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$38.51
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$40.5
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$35.36
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$23.05
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$13.88
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$80.45
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+72.4%+$33.79
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+144.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.9%+$32.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.73
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+733.3%+$79.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.