NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644de4e3d8a9b35bf83119c5e083a6b4550425257e1327e09cb83ae8fc509314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Mavericks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,357 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 55c | 63,116$34,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,668.78 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Warriors | 49c | 43,662$21,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,100.67 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Mavericks | 44c | 31,367$13,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,761.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Mavericks | 38c | 18,091$6,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,902.98 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks | 56c | 14,227$7,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,984.5 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Warriors | 56c | 12,669$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,574.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks | 53c | 11,270$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.01 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Warriors | 43c | 7,560$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.3 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…12f8backed Mavericks | 35c | 5,895$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Warriors | 71c | 5,102$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Mavericks | 53c | 4,634$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.49 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Warriors | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 45c | 3,654$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.24 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 42c | 3,358$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.66 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Warriors | 57c | 3,139$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Warriors | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 41c | 2,836$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.33 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Warriors | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 21c | 2,497$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.36 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Warriors | 14c | 2,302$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.08 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Mavericks | 62c | 2,258$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.51 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks | 61c | 2,205$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.5 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Mavericks | 41c | 2,031$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.61 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Mavericks | 56c | 1,865$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.82 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,745$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Warriors | 57c | 1,715$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.61 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Warriors | 60c | 1,656$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.12 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Warriors | 60c | 1,605$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.88 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Mavericks | 65c | 1,482$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed Mavericks | 41c | 1,266$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…2e3cbacked Mavericks | 41c | 1,253$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Mavericks | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,245$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.85 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked Mavericks | 42c | 1,237$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks | 43c | 1,233$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.02 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,182$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.12 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Warriors | 58c | 1,181$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,174$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.04 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Mavericks | 69c | 1,091$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…9a6fbacked Warriors | 44c | 1,073$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mavericks | 67c | 1,060$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.89 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed Warriors | 56c | 1,033$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Warriors | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Warriors | 58c | 982.26$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.26 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Mavericks | 40c | 980$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Warriors | 57c | 927.32$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 35c | 902.56$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.45 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…d2f5backed Warriors | 57c | 899.96$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.98 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Warriors | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Warriors | 59c | 849.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.41 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Warriors | 59c | 834.48$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Warriors | 57c | 822.92$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.11 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…945ebacked Mavericks | 42c | 820$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Mavericks | 44c | 818.18$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Warriors | 46c | 787.72$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.72 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Warriors | 56c | 768.48$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.48 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ae07backed Mavericks | 41c | 768.44$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Mavericks | 26c | 767.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Warriors | 60c | 763.5$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Mavericks | 61c | 751.67$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Mavericks | 43c | 733.33$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…859fbacked Mavericks | 35c | 714.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…a8fbbacked Mavericks | 36c | 680.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Warriors | 57c | 678.83$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.88 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Mavericks | 30c | 667.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2af9backed Mavericks | 27c | 609.37$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Warriors | 58c | 608.17$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks | 42c | 592.92$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.03 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Warriors | 43c | 568.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.28 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Mavericks | 41c | 513$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Mavericks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Warriors | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Mavericks | 41c | 488.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 43c | 488.46$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Warriors | 62c | 485.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Warriors | 68c | 479.74$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Mavericks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…3f60backed Mavericks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Warriors | 58c | 463$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…6434backed Mavericks | 10c | 449.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 53c | 441.45$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Warriors | 61c | 434.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Warriors | 38c | 434.14$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.71 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Mavericks | 39c | 425.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks | 42c | 409.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Mavericks | 32c | 394.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mavericks | 34c | 382.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 56c | 381.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Warriors | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Warriors | 62c | 336.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Mavericks | 33c | 328.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Mavericks | 64c | 323.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.94 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…32d8backed Warriors | 55c | 281.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Warriors | 69c | 280$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.