TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Mavericks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b45…ea09backed Mavericks57c90,532$51,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,716.463727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz40c63,096$25,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,054.7147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz46c22,849$10,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,256.2165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Jazz71c22,214$15,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,352.9911459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e25…ff35backed Mavericks42c18,984$7,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,973.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Mavericks49c5,860$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.7226547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b5…a7dfbacked Jazz23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8502100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick33cpaid+236.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b9a…83d6backed Mavericks78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce0…61c9backed Jazz22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa527…b702backed Mavericks78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…4cc6backed Jazz23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+124.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b0…fe32backed Jazz22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6869…2650backed Mavericks77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7d3…3c57backed Mavericks78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ad…9c2fbacked Mavericks77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…8e55backed Mavericks77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aef…0100backed Jazz22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9003100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+198.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31a6…71f9backed Jazz23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332f…d5f7backed Jazz23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc1…602fbacked Mavericks78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52bf…e39abacked Mavericks77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2b…23d7backed Jazz22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a9…b20ebacked Mavericks78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb7…d370backed Jazz22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9002100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+246.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd02d…ac41backed Jazz22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ff…cb1cbacked Mavericks78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90f8…5a3fbacked Jazz22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick31cpaid+102.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x34a9…cb73backed Jazz22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9003100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+198.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dd4…9095backed Mavericks78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60c8…31bcbacked Mavericks78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick67cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz64c4,741$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.8959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Mavericks41c4,262$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.248334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Mavericks75c4,244$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.832231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz27c4,123$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.841,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Mavericks27c3,965$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.178417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz21c3,950$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.9446131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Jazz25c3,597$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.195457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Jazz27c3,508$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.298439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz22c3,261$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd900…dd5cbacked Jazz26c3,257$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz22c3,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.911,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Mavericks78c3,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.854348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Jazz21c2,918$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.066141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Jazz21c2,867$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Mavericks25c2,772$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x068a…331ebacked Mavericks39c2,772$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…078fbacked Mavericks77c2,587$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jazz24c2,485$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.6876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Mavericks54c2,419$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6c…bf6ebacked Jazz23c2,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ac…e4a5backed Jazz27c2,138$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+271.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f3…bde4backed Jazz78c2,045$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Mavericks77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5407549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Jazz23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5408442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Jazz23c1,990$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.385240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x062c…6159backed Jazz22c1,985$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Jazz22c1,768$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.183053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Mavericks80c1,768$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4112556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9347…b5d7backed Mavericks77c1,671$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833d…faedbacked Mavericks78c1,550$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe656…5e07backed Mavericks76c1,544$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Jazz59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.246955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks78c1,489$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.4727546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Mavericks77c1,440$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.185616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks77c1,418$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.433752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Mavericks78c1,393$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.224940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed Jazz27c1,365$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.751844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1adc…c60dbacked Mavericks73c1,365$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.7560%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Mavericks45c1,351$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.045543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Jazz26c1,300$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.9619650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Mavericks78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x442b…5410backed Mavericks75c1,236$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Mavericks78c1,200$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.5110462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b8…5851backed Mavericks78c1,191$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a0…9dedbacked Mavericks76c1,157$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf71…877fbacked Mavericks78c1,154$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f6…85bfbacked Mavericks78c1,132$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5553…2567backed Jazz22c1,116$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.331338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Jazz22c1,116$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.639035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Mavericks74c1,100$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.998053.8%43 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Jazz24c1,090$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.321747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad1…c838backed Mavericks78c1,040$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.91553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa657…2e3cbacked Jazz20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+63.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz21c999.8$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.841,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Jazz23c972.23$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.442528%7 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Mavericks20c937.37$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7418316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4af…c998backed Mavericks78c906.41$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Mavericks76c900$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68419943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Mavericks80c875.46$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks77c863.11$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.619642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Jazz22c860.44$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.1411332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Mavericks48c844.2$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.853528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Mavericks75c835.44$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.4412247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Mavericks79c825$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64830954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c01…a931backed Jazz35c824.9$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ea…7776backed Mavericks79c800$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.622147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Jazz26c772.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.189724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba48…7ee8backed Mavericks76c766.14$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Jazz22c750$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5858547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf64…497abacked Jazz25c742.54$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.