Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3e6657a7b1256748cba230bd63ed049e362e5c7ef391ab132f85b337a98a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 68c | 14,884$10,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.11 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Yes | 73c | 14,000$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 76c | 13,121$10,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,001.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 69c | 9,239$6,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 33c | 9,060$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.01 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 7,317$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 75c | 7,049$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 34c | 5,422$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.94 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 30c | 3,981$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…27e8backed Yes | 75c | 3,852$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 24c | 3,400$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 28c | 3,144$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.16 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 49c | 3,065$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.9 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 34c | 2,904$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 39c | 2,397$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.37 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,968$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 1,866$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.56 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 48c | 1,807$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…85edbacked No | 76c | 1,750$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 1,698$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.27 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 24c | 1,652$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 26c | 1,597$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…afc3backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…b3e6backed Yes | 26c | 1,523$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Yes | 66c | 1,475$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 1,321$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.97 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1df…677fbacked No | 76c | 1,310$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 16c | 1,275$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.23 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,242$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.87 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 1,207$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.75 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Yes | 24c | 1,111$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…c23dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 25c | 999.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…a956backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 26c | 934.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 917$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 47c | 808.72$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.69 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 78c | 784.01$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 25c | 780.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 43c | 712.32$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 75c | 709.33$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Yes | 24c | 695.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked No | 76c | 659.21$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 19c | 588$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.54 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 536.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.5 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 61c | 500$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 74c | 499.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 35c | 474.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 21c | 471.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 21c | 466.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 31c | 444.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 75c | 436.71$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 75c | 413.33$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 400$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +183.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 23c | 373.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.62 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 26c | 365.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 71c | 362.61$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 49c | 347.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes | 78c | 338.43$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 63c | 332.66$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…9f8fbacked Yes | 64c | 331.84$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed No | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81de…9d90backed Yes | 25c | 324$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 35c | 316.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 38c | 300.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…f3a4backed Yes | 26c | 297.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 35c | 287.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked No | 38c | 280$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 26c | 274.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…978cbacked No | 76c | 268.23$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 37c | 260.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.