TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No75c7,802$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.282,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes26c7,692$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c5,407$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.243,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c2,454$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.531861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes18c2,250$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41511226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c1,734$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes26c1,300$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes26c1,267$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae7…1eebbacked Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes27c1,107$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.645135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes24c862.49$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5411839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ce…356dbacked Yes27c724.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No74c695.95$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.952356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes23c652.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No74c642.5$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.055947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c634.15$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes26c573.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes30c556.37$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c530.65$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes22c511.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.471573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+63.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No79c500$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.423836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No58c475.41$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.595621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No73c399.97$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…8efebacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c346.7$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1469448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes22c296$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1212545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No74c276.85$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.988254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c233.44$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.712057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes17c227.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No73c219.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1811246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes19c204.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.952231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes27c181.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No74c178.49$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes27c166.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c156.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.79920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes24c155.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.776923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Yes23c154.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3150%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes18c151.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.651136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes14c148.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.861822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+63.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c148.2$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0425157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes24c142$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7317059.4%101 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No73c129.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9933522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No74c125.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.62944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.215949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a8…91fdbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes15c105.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5337750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763450%17 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+78%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c99.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255525.5%14 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No74c89.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c88.82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0944156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.13278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…8febbacked Yes26c75.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No78c74.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No72c72.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.23366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7c2…4939backed No66c71.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No25c68.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5263857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c63.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7738047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked Yes16c63.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No74c60.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.738261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes26c60.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.23357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes25c58.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes17c58.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes27c55.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9966…2549backed Yes27c55.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes40c55.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc345…8e8cbacked Yes27c54.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…88acbacked Yes27c53.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes26c50.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2316242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+120.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No68c49.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.742070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No41c48.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.472454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes22c47.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1415240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No72c44.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.65745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes27c40.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…9f22backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No47c38.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.413154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No78c37.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3112633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No74c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.623661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Yes46c36.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.