TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,981,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,325,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,981,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes50c3,407,745$1,701,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701,927.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No50c1,399,290$701,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697,773.072860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No50c352,400$176,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176,2003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No50c287,822$143,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,911580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No50c193,460$96,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,7301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No50c160,000$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No50c109,847$55,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,769.315947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No50c100,731$50,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,357.951650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,0003745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No50c88,000$44,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No50c50,471$25,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,235.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No50c47,390$23,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,6951546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No50c43,306$21,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,653.22347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No50c42,500$21,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,2501233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No50c36,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+80.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c34,609$17,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,304.356456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked No51c32,900$16,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,196450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c31,247$15,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,623.6591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No50c30,300$15,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,1503100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No62c27,503$16,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,533.272259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No50c27,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No50c24,240$12,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No67c19,905$13,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,564.82,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No50c17,150$8,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5755156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c14,846$9,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,513.983,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No50c12,020$6,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0101250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0002572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No50c11,300$5,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6502540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed No52c10,100$5,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,872.75560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+154.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes24c9,917$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.396154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No50c9,782$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8912050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Yes49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,410333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes49c8,741$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No50c8,029$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.284259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No50c7,619$3,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No50c7,603$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.312057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Yes39c6,031$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No50c5,826$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Yes49c5,585$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes46c5,200$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.971060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes50c4,827$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3002236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c4,334$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.686119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked No51c4,101$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No50c3,900$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No52c3,332$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.7156849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No50c3,040$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52011246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No50c3,012$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5064544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5004770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47012832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes6c3,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c2,844$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.932,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes34c2,663$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.865123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No50c2,336$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.212860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No50c2,324$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c2,069$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.196947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes49c1,916$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.842755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.342142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed No51c1,631$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No62c1,611$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed No51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.951050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No50c1,470$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.1816543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No50c1,392$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.162839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes36c1,346$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.427644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No50c1,331$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed No51c1,329$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.583351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No58c1,295$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+69.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes28c1,259$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked No51c1,174$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No49c1,045$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.0114042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes18c999.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed No52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+69.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed No52c951.92$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.921723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No57c925.92$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.5711839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed No51c923.53$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.53757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No50c880$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No49c866$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed No51c848.98$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf72…6378backed Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c784.66$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6531849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No50c769.62$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.81875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes17c761.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No51c686.4$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.342441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed No50c680.04$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.281080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.