MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38a8e90ddde78681a6c25e43336bf96a68ac13c90a0c1bb67f2c5c6e189d3b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Houston Astros, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $570,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $580,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 294,614$120,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,719.27 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 146,665$87,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,862.88 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 48,800$28,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,008 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…1e23backed Houston Astros | 0c | 38,370$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 31,274$18,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,167.86 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,299.98 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 26,186$11,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,414.6 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Houston Astros | 44c | 20,582$9,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,030.3 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 40c | 18,286$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.4 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.67 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 16,129$9,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.88 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 29c | 14,167$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 13,945$8,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.78 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 12,649$7,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.08 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 10,870$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 9,971$5,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.55 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Houston Astros | 39c | 7,124$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 5,802$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.67 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 5,525$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.33 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 4,129$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.43 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 42c | 4,016$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.29 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 3,580$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.62 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 3,281$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.85 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,800$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.78 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,590$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.96 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Houston Astros | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 2,265$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.67 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,243$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.78 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,215$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 2,086$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.17 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Houston Astros | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 1,908$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.81 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,825$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.87 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,597$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.52 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 12c | 1,591$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 1,488$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 1,353$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.97 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 26c | 1,332$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 36c | 1,314$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.12 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,311$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.63 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 9c | 1,271$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,247$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.26 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 1,079$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.28 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Houston Astros | 10c | 999.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 985.21$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.14 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 42c | 965.14$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.36 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 41c | 924.68$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.98 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 851.47$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.6 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 793.1$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.1 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Houston Astros | 41c | 760.37$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 757$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.37 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Houston Astros | 36c | 615.41$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Houston Astros | 41c | 610$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 580.68$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…f483backed Houston Astros | 38c | 576.03$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Houston Astros | 40c | 560$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Houston Astros | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 16c | 521.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 41c | 488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 41c | 484.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.95 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Houston Astros | 41c | 482.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 480.95$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Houston Astros | 43c | 448.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 417.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 379.48$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 373.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 366.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Houston Astros | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Houston Astros | 22c | 354.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 351.02$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Houston Astros | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Houston Astros | 32c | 338.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…047ebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 336.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 331.54$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 271.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 182 | 57.7%105 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 265.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 251.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Houston Astros | 38c | 247.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 244.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Houston Astros | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Houston Astros | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.