Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Hernan Casanova vs Nicolas Kicker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x023235e2ba4670495f1f68bf4c0a8355cd3889a459720f45de13b9c4be8b616b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hernan Casanovaof Hernan Casanova, Nicolas Kicker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Kicker | 14c | 6,428$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hernan Casanova | 65c | 3,698$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.22 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Kicker | 17c | 2,960$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.6 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Nicolas Kicker | 19c | 2,158$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Hernan Casanova | 79c | 1,283$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.62 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Kicker | 23c | 1,276$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicolas Kicker | 19c | 990.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolas Kicker | 22c | 986.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 934.12$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.84 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hernan Casanova | 74c | 828.7$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Nicolas Kicker | 27c | 737.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…bccebacked Hernan Casanova | 70c | 714.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nicolas Kicker | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Nicolas Kicker | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…dc29backed Nicolas Kicker | 22c | 454.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Nicolas Kicker | 17c | 391.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Nicolas Kicker | 54c | 383.78$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Nicolas Kicker | 14c | 343.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Nicolas Kicker | 12c | 341.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Nicolas Kicker | 11c | 313$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 476 | 49.6%236 W · 240 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 293.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nicolas Kicker | 9c | 292$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Hernan Casanova | 48c | 242.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nicolas Kicker | 16c | 234.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Hernan Casanova | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 198.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Hernan Casanova | 44c | 188.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nicolas Kicker | 52c | 172.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Hernan Casanova | 71c | 168.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Hernan Casanova | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f10…93d1backed Nicolas Kicker | 45c | 134.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed Nicolas Kicker | 22c | 122.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Hernan Casanova | 44c | 114.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nicolas Kicker | 25c | 113.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Hernan Casanova | 68c | 112.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 24c | 111.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Nicolas Kicker | 44c | 110.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nicolas Kicker | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Nicolas Kicker | 35c | 102.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Hernan Casanova | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hernan Casanova | 62c | 93.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hernan Casanova | 77c | 78.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Hernan Casanova | 45c | 73.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nicolas Kicker | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…dfaabacked Nicolas Kicker | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Nicolas Kicker | 19c | 62.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Hernan Casanova | 79c | 62.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Nicolas Kicker | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Hernan Casanova | 79c | 56.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nicolas Kicker | 21c | 55.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hernan Casanova | 63c | 55.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nicolas Kicker | 31c | 55.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Nicolas Kicker | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Hernan Casanova | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Hernan Casanova | 74c | 46.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Nicolas Kicker | 28c | 46.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 95 | 27.4%26 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Hernan Casanova | 61c | 40.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Hernan Casanova | 74c | 40.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Nicolas Kicker | 31c | 38.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Hernan Casanova | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Hernan Casanova | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…de20backed Hernan Casanova | 56c | 31.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Nicolas Kicker | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hernan Casanova | 47c | 27.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Hernan Casanova | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Hernan Casanova | 61c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hernan Casanova | 45c | 25.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Hernan Casanova | 77c | 25.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Nicolas Kicker | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hernan Casanova | 72c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74af…bc8bbacked Hernan Casanova | 78c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.