Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kamen: Louis Wessels vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b2ab3e09969ae8effd428589af084c2761b3485812112a209507d5eef7a5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louis Wesselsof Louis Wessels, Leonid Sheyngezikht
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Louis Wessels | 70c | 644.08$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7475backed Leonid Sheyngezikht | 54c | 632.49$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.67 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Leonid Sheyngezikht | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…bc3dbacked Louis Wessels | 71c | 477.46$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leonid Sheyngezikht | 30c | 297.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Louis Wessels | 46c | 250.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Louis Wessels | 61c | 195.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Louis Wessels | 78c | 161.65$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Louis Wessels | 56c | 121.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea67…ceebbacked Leonid Sheyngezikht | 33c | 84.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Louis Wessels | 57c | 31.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louis Wessels | 66c | 24.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leonid Sheyngezikht | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Louis Wessels | 77c | 23.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Louis Wessels | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…f7f9backed Louis Wessels | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Louis Wessels | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.