Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3eff9168de06db34d2984222dc98a1375f2dd3a11c96cc6fbad9101d085c0d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 26c | 183,769$47,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,780 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 74c | 180,555$134,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,194.3 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 24,509$17,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 20,214$14,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 29c | 17,080$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.72 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 16,510$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.2 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 13,576$9,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 26c | 11,026$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.8 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 75c | 7,880$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 6,002$4,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 1c | 5,867$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 5,834$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.74 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed Yes | 28c | 5,161$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 26c | 4,778$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.28 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…7fb3backed Yes | 29c | 4,428$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 75c | 3,940$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 28c | 3,417$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 75c | 2,955$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.75 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 2,651$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.18 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 26c | 2,589$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.46 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 2,335$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.97 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,225$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 26c | 1,816$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.07 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 1,535$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.32 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 74c | 1,289$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.04 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes | 27c | 1,268$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 26c | 1,264$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.73 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,263$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 1,241$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.77 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 28c | 1,162$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.31 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 75c | 1,149$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.13 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 26c | 1,103$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…0ec0backed Yes | 27c | 1,101$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 71c | 1,090$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 999.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 28c | 989.2$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.98 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 26c | 985$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 27c | 953.54$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 951.96$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 21c | 944.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.01 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 840.89$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.43 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 28c | 839.59$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…1af3backed Yes | 29c | 820.41$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 26c | 808.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…4059backed Yes | 26c | 808.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 17c | 748.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 727.44$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 15c | 699.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 25c | 695.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 74c | 678.2$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes | 27c | 624.8$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +72%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 26c | 570.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 518.56$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 26c | 441.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Yes | 29c | 438.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 422.46$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…0fd0backed Yes | 30c | 415.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 24c | 405.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 404.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 15c | 404.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 399.91$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 28c | 392.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…1883backed Yes | 21c | 390.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…33ddbacked Yes | 28c | 382.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 8c | 370.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe1…befbbacked Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 365.17$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 27c | 361.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4108backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 25c | 353.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 76c | 348.76$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…2730backed Yes | 28c | 343.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 21c | 326.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 73c | 320.67$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 76c | 319.24$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 28c | 307.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 75c | 295.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 26c | 294.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 286.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 26c | 286.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…e2dcbacked Yes | 22c | 285.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…e5f2backed Yes | 22c | 285.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 275.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 28c | 271.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 25c | 268.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 74c | 261.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes | 26c | 256.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 74c | 243.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 74c | 241.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.