Fifa International · resolved market
Benin vs. Niger: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226830620f37911831b194f1aa671f865ee9c9492676d0f08155d31cad0dd6f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 1,600$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Under | 71c | 1,413$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 1,032$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.31 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 50c | 1,027$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.95 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 64c | 934.96$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.96 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 817.21$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 741.32$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.07 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 647.1$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 36c | 438.15$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 324.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 317.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 62c | 286.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Under | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 63c | 217.08$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 197.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 30c | 164.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 30c | 162.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 53c | 145.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…2ee8backed Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 48c | 105.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 54c | 102.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 96.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 39c | 77.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 73.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Under | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 35c | 40.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 27.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Under | 75c | 14.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Benin vs. Niger: O/U 1.5this page
- Benin vs. Niger: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Benin vs. Niger: O/U 0.5Over won
- Benin vs. Niger: O/U 2.5Under won
- Benin vs. Niger: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Benin (-1.5)Niger won
- Spread: Benin (-2.5)Niger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.