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Euroleague · resolved market

Panathinaikos vs. Valencia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valenciaof Panathinaikos, Valencia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93f6…4814backed Valencia39c12,962$5,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,919.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panathinaikos51c10,636$5,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,401.1834344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Valencia65c5,472$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Valencia39c5,213$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.8337052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Panathinaikos63c4,675$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.72055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Panathinaikos55c4,626$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.0413046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Panathinaikos32c4,000$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Valencia34c3,289$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Panathinaikos43c3,260$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4036744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Valencia65c3,226$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.272157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Panathinaikos48c3,166$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.435151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Panathinaikos57c2,877$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.81258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Valencia33c2,410$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Panathinaikos70c1,614$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Valencia35c1,600$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+60.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Valencia73c1,326$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.175360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Valencia30c1,181$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9413147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Panathinaikos54c1,177$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.661435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Valencia41c1,156$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.93063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Valencia48c1,043$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.9813650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panathinaikos62c1,001$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.5136939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Panathinaikos58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5809756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Panathinaikos37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3708936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Panathinaikos66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.993855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Panathinaikos66c990$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Panathinaikos48c945.58$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4aa…d040backed Panathinaikos68c936.55$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Panathinaikos67c870.09$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.193060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Panathinaikos39c837.46$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6314037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Valencia50c822.33$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.176338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Valencia53c724.46$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.8214447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Panathinaikos51c672.04$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7313545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Valencia56c665.98$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.962075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Valencia40c644.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Panathinaikos43c574.12$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1521535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Panathinaikos67c554.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.843775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Panathinaikos43c550.32$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.864841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Valencia51c549.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x620f…4288backed Valencia35c503.1$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Panathinaikos37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Valencia62c476$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.75248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Panathinaikos40c464.05$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.51520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Valencia36c420.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Valencia55c407.82$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.521546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panathinaikos32c395.75$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2435234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Panathinaikos68c369.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Panathinaikos65c369$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5512454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Valencia33c335.66$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Valencia31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.588247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25c…a27dbacked Valencia31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Panathinaikos66c305.32$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Panathinaikos55c303.75$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4831651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Panathinaikos42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1268256.1%46 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Valencia32c295.13$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.691850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Valencia29c281.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.133342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Valencia53c280.64$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.292040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Valencia36c273.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.662030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e4…a2ccbacked Valencia33c271$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Panathinaikos53c263.28$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.373053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Valencia56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Panathinaikos63c242.59$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Panathinaikos53c242.48$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.826544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Valencia33c242.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.421421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Panathinaikos29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed Valencia32c229.48$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Panathinaikos66c222.73$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc6…0f52backed Panathinaikos38c221.96$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Valencia33c209.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.694245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Valencia34c206$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.977741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f3…a7dbbacked Panathinaikos25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x728d…9964backed Valencia35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+122.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73e7…be11backed Valencia51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Panathinaikos50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3d…efefbacked Panathinaikos53c187.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Panathinaikos42c173.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick29cpaid-65.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Valencia33c170.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5521444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Valencia34c161$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.261450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…a0dfbacked Panathinaikos39c158.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Panathinaikos43c157.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.862321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bc…67e2backed Panathinaikos68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c75…78adbacked Panathinaikos70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Valencia47c147.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.651080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Valencia34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Valencia34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.063943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Panathinaikos44c131.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.191040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Valencia68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos30c123$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.743543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Panathinaikos19c113.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5220936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c37…f2ffbacked Panathinaikos45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…dbfdbacked Panathinaikos47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c3…87aabacked Panathinaikos57c104.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Valencia30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7027338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…b09abacked Valencia68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Valencia34c99.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.981741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6161…c834backed Panathinaikos45c98.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.48825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked Valencia33c87.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Panathinaikos34c85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…eb2abacked Panathinaikos38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Panathinaikos67c79.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.62360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Panathinaikos62c78.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.157042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.