Euroleague · resolved market
Joventut vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283a1da839563a06c247330cd37da9c9fe6669d72df17c53a57f7587dc05b057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Joventut, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Saski Baskonia | 15c | 6,447$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.31 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Saski Baskonia | 19c | 2,750$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Joventut | 75c | 2,734$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.79 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Saski Baskonia | 20c | 2,600$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 2,003$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saski Baskonia | 19c | 1,578$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.09 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 1,271$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Saski Baskonia | 40c | 1,048$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 13c | 1,024$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Saski Baskonia | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 933.72$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 895.07$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 876.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 800.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Joventut | 53c | 750.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Saski Baskonia | 6c | 750$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Saski Baskonia | 10c | 688.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Joventut | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Saski Baskonia | 25c | 607.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Saski Baskonia | 6c | 600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Saski Baskonia | 6c | 549$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Saski Baskonia | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Saski Baskonia | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Saski Baskonia | 9c | 444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Saski Baskonia | 11c | 416$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Saski Baskonia | 36c | 386.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Saski Baskonia | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Saski Baskonia | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Saski Baskonia | 42c | 314.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Saski Baskonia | 18c | 303.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Saski Baskonia | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Joventut | 75c | 289.93$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Joventut | 48c | 276.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…5d44backed Saski Baskonia | 24c | 273.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 269$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Joventut | 53c | 261.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Saski Baskonia | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 232.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Saski Baskonia | 6c | 229.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Joventut | 50c | 223$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Joventut | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Joventut | 52c | 192.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Joventut | 51c | 179.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…868fbacked Saski Baskonia | 18c | 167.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Joventut | 79c | 165$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…8e87backed Joventut | 53c | 158.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Saski Baskonia | 9c | 156.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Saski Baskonia | 17c | 146.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Saski Baskonia | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Joventut | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Saski Baskonia | 23c | 122.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Saski Baskonia | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Joventut | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Joventut | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Joventut | 55c | 100.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Saski Baskonia | 45c | 85.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 84.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…a130backed Saski Baskonia | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 63.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Joventut | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Saski Baskonia | 29c | 49.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Joventut | 51c | 49.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Saski Baskonia | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Saski Baskonia | 50c | 21.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Joventut vs. Saski Baskoniathis page
- Joventut vs. Saski Baskonia: O/U 171.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.