Fifa International · resolved market
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b360c689dbc6704563ac4dc4db4cc09f5e82eab262659dc8d973d768addb3b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 2,008$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,279$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Over | 60c | 829.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 715.36$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 38c | 432.84$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.03 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 316.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 62c | 239.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 62c | 227.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 185.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 39c | 173.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 11c | 161.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 106.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 91.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 77c | 84.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 35c | 81.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 79.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 76.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 64c | 75.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 71.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 69.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 45c | 64.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 64.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 46.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…af0cbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…2819backed Over | 63c | 40.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 61c | 36.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 33.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 21.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 66c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Benin (-1.5)Togo won
- Spread: Togo (-1.5)Togo won
- Togo vs. Benin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 0.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 1.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 3.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 4.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.