Fifa International · resolved market
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x953e4d52be59fa8083a8d68d08224ea1f3223baa4e0237eb20506460f45b6200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 72c | 4,163$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 1,843$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.34 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,665$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.9 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 1,593$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 1,099$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.6 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 1,003$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 77c | 517.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 29c | 334.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 17c | 219.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 63c | 167.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 32c | 145.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…c1c2backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 128.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 38c | 116.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 25c | 103.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 58.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 65c | 55.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Under | 68c | 49.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…dd3fbacked Over | 58c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Benin (-1.5)Togo won
- Spread: Togo (-1.5)Togo won
- Togo vs. Benin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 0.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 1.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 2.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 4.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.