Fifa International · resolved market
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaeba3c545eeacf08d3d7aa8bcc0d9d52bc09d4ce9c9d217934b2a2c1e847e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,280$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 1,224$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.35 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 14c | 1,063$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 844.48$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 3c | 643.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.88 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 4c | 539.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.05 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 25c | 500$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 417.55$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 254.89$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 64c | 78.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over | 32c | 69.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 58.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 40c | 40.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 41c | 36.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 33c | 33.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 46c | 33.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 74c | 31.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Under | 63c | 25.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Benin (-1.5)Togo won
- Spread: Togo (-1.5)Togo won
- Togo vs. Benin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 0.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 1.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 2.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 3.5Over won
- Togo vs. Benin: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.