TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marcos Gironof Daniel Evans, Marcos Giron
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c50…e0c9backed Daniel Evans34c17,756$6,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,017.6742131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marcos Giron67c11,709$7,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,856.288,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Daniel Evans43c9,149$3,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.087061.4%43 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x749e…1090backed Daniel Evans30c8,430$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.879935.4%35 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Marcos Giron64c7,960$5,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.943,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Daniel Evans27c7,679$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.4230827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marcos Giron67c7,490$5,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.9811,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Marcos Giron71c6,466$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.264346.5%20 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Daniel Evans35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10045036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Daniel Evans41c5,300$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.510642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Marcos Giron75c4,843$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.294,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Marcos Giron59c3,265$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.6552152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marcos Giron75c3,223$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.555,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Daniel Evans35c2,860$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Daniel Evans30c2,741$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.961,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Daniel Evans25c2,655$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.859532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Daniel Evans1c2,611$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.753208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Marcos Giron57c2,551$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.123354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed Marcos Giron75c2,295$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.131973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+57.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Marcos Giron66c1,920$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.34,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marcos Giron74c1,685$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.238,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b87…8a0dbacked Daniel Evans29c1,617$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.833333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Daniel Evans38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Marcos Giron73c1,250$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.52878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Marcos Giron77c1,228$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.314,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Daniel Evans42c1,216$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.7238646.4%179 W · 207 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Daniel Evans34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Marcos Giron72c1,174$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.291,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Daniel Evans10c1,140$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.230525.9%79 W · 226 L-28.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Daniel Evans25c1,136$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.521524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Daniel Evans45c1,113$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3613427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Evans22c1,083$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.779,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Daniel Evans28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808331.3%26 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Marcos Giron57c919.33$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3171725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Daniel Evans27c908.63$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8623130.3%70 W · 161 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fc…0fc0backed Marcos Giron57c875.32$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.391346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Daniel Evans29c867.71$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6449957.5%287 W · 212 L+29.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Daniel Evans44c805.5$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.4243547.4%206 W · 229 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Marcos Giron73c798.73$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.511,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6c…d56cbacked Marcos Giron75c740.68$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1724451.6%126 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Marcos Giron71c704.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.21,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Daniel Evans15c700.89$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4812125.6%31 W · 90 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Daniel Evans32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Marcos Giron69c583.06$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.751,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Daniel Evans28c537.11$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2130235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Daniel Evans29c520.69$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15126134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Marcos Giron61c509.84$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.841,07360.4%648 W · 425 L+24.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Evans26c499.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.172,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Marcos Giron69c457.67$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.881,06157.4%609 W · 452 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Marcos Giron71c440.84$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8416746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Daniel Evans12c431.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Marcos Giron67c385.93$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3611963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e70…582fbacked Daniel Evans24c383.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.952227.3%6 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Marcos Giron73c362.7$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.742,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Daniel Evans37c356.86$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13134764%222 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Daniel Evans22c350.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.127528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Daniel Evans29c323.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8924337%90 W · 153 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Marcos Giron69c316$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.964,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Daniel Evans27c312.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2411133.3%37 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Marcos Giron57c307.02$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.021,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Marcos Giron77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696467.2%43 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Marcos Giron69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8617659.1%104 W · 72 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Evans25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf85e…5cd5backed Marcos Giron72c273.26$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.133268.8%22 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Daniel Evans7c271.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Daniel Evans27c267.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.221,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed Daniel Evans25c265.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2511148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Daniel Evans38c264.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11043%477 W · 633 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Marcos Giron75c263.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.791,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5729…b054backed Marcos Giron57c240.35$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.353844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Marcos Giron69c233.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Daniel Evans36c221.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Marcos Giron74c210.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3237047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Marcos Giron63c204.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7682460.6%499 W · 325 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Marcos Giron64c202.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.762,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Daniel Evans40c200.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.093644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Daniel Evans10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Marcos Giron77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Marcos Giron60c174.39$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.391,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Marcos Giron71c172.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.126,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Marcos Giron70c170.03$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7258539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Marcos Giron71c168.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2140554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Daniel Evans27c166.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540235.8%144 W · 258 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Marcos Giron75c161.48$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3720270.8%143 W · 59 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Marcos Giron75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Marcos Giron74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Marcos Giron69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9387054.6%475 W · 395 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Marcos Giron68c144.14$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.822,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Daniel Evans26c142.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375928.8%17 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Daniel Evans11c136$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9624740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Marcos Giron74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1410457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Daniel Evans26c135.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.141,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Marcos Giron68c132.95$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4291845.4%417 W · 501 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Marcos Giron78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9c…cf78backed Daniel Evans12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511131.5%35 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Marcos Giron75c124.34$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9835248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fed…eff0backed Daniel Evans30c123$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcee9…8e38backed Daniel Evans26c119.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.192755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Marcos Giron72c118.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5330544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Marcos Giron60c118.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.