Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77a46933dddb88e6a5e4c255b703a53f03e8428bb6679abec52fed8ff4b481d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 57c | 12,281$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Over | 43c | 10,478$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 13c | 9,883$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.64 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 71c | 4,257$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.83 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 2,767$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.98 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Over | 43c | 1,423$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 44c | 1,322$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.58 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 1,276$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.14 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Over | 44c | 1,130$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 7c | 988$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 2c | 972.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 776.05$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 63c | 763.73$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 63c | 763.73$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 44c | 668.18$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 627.27$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 65c | 619.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 70c | 561.96$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 11c | 489.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 43c | 481.9$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 418.18$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 57c | 327.68$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 14c | 298.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 57c | 252.77$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Over | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 199.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 198.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 196.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…e60fbacked Under | 56c | 181.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…0ff6backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 44c | 170.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 158.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 147.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 16c | 144.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 57c | 139.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 27c | 128.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 125.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…5e9ebacked Under | 72c | 69.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0252backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 43c | 59.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…498dbacked Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Over | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Under | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Under | 56c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…a410backed Under | 57c | 26.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Over | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Under | 58c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 78c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.