Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40195e4e2f7849216b1de1aa0f53d318e05967057cf58e40a616d4e7ad026f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Under | 79c | 12,602$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.76 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 23c | 4,413$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 4,360$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 21c | 3,463$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.23 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 79c | 2,148$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.16 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Over | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 22c | 1,722$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.56 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 20c | 1,006$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Under | 79c | 949.5$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 21c | 807.65$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 3c | 806.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 23c | 739.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 596.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 5c | 412$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 21c | 227$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 17c | 169.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Under | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 23c | 64.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c916backed Under | 79c | 50.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 78c | 39.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 79c | 37.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…b67cbacked Under | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.