Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa71da911315eaa0ec8a0f25905d3a7491da78ff21ed1dd9ddcdf0764e7d690e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 20c | 35,625$7,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.61 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 26,189$20,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,479.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 6,645$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.65 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 49c | 4,570$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.48 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 51c | 2,450$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.96 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.62 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 1,915$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.9 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,651$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 52c | 825.91$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.44 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 51c | 636.35$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.81 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 580.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.29 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 556.71$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.19 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…69c9backed No | 51c | 543.53$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 378.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 18c | 314.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 295.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 52c | 267.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 201.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 80c | 168.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…2546backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 33c | 149.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 18c | 138.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 51c | 136.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 48c | 133.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed No | 53c | 116.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 116.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed No | 80c | 114.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…e2c2backed Yes | 49c | 105.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 21c | 99.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 53c | 88.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…bdf0backed Yes | 49c | 87.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…6ab2backed No | 53c | 78.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…c7e8backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 78c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 55.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 79c | 52.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked No | 80c | 46.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…2217backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 52c | 32.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…de06backed Yes | 48c | 28.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 53c | 26.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 49c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1e…30e8backed Yes | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 25.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 60c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…114abacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.