Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9413ef8b4f2d0f3e68bf69bd16867203f5da4df80e37467521d443371b9d8401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hull City AFCof Middlesbrough FC, Hull City AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Middlesbrough FC | 25c | 8,880$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Hull City AFC | 75c | 7,385$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.25 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Middlesbrough FC | 15c | 957.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hull City AFC | 75c | 851.02$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.75 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed Hull City AFC | 76c | 503.7$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Middlesbrough FC | 26c | 447.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Middlesbrough FC | 3c | 430.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Middlesbrough FC | 24c | 350.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Middlesbrough FC | 14c | 207.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 5c | 195.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Hull City AFC | 75c | 134.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Hull City AFC | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Hull City AFC | 75c | 53.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Middlesbrough FC | 23c | 43.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…04a1backed Middlesbrough FC | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hull City AFC | 75c | 25.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Hull City AFC | 76c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Hull City AFC | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…57f1backed Hull City AFC | 76c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.