Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce8662cd5b90b5c84745496f978949b6767cce0bbf809f28ef1a7aed66b9fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 12,962$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 10c | 2,100$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 12c | 1,937$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 50c | 1,862$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 16c | 1,842$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.73 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 1,495$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.23 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Over | 78c | 1,461$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 50c | 1,402$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.08 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 13c | 1,246$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 47c | 1,071$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.7 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 69c | 834.78$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 62c | 822.04$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Under | 16c | 661.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 13c | 657.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 562.2$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 9c | 444.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 67c | 428$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Under | 12c | 423.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 421.43$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 421.43$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 25c | 403.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.05 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…c70fbacked Over | 45c | 391.1$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 30c | 383.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 73c | 298.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…aa3fbacked Over | 23c | 293.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +336.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 64c | 254.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…daa9backed Over | 53c | 246.3$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 241$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Under | 66c | 227.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 5c | 212.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 51c | 194.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 10c | 192.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 30c | 186.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 56c | 179.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Under | 79c | 162.02$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 58c | 155.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 18c | 137.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 12c | 127$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 70c | 114.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 35c | 113.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Under | 28c | 103.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 75c | 77.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 20c | 75.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 67c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 48c | 62.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…a4a5backed Over | 72c | 50.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…d47abacked Under | 50c | 40.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 25c | 40.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…9be0backed Under | 34c | 35.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 24.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.