TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c12,206$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under43c4,799$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.484151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c3,664$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.346,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c2,530$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.161,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over48c1,907$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.9688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over69c1,771$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.9185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over5c1,571$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under49c1,463$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.275851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under63c1,325$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.076139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Over58c1,321$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.422470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over32c1,244$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3986451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over48c1,090$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under32c981.19$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under30c887.58$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.3111750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under35c821.54$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5344240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over14c775.21$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under76c514.71$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.272142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over13c510$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.221513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid+100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Over68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.998348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under63c499.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under32c462.88$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.761145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over56c450$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25130645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Under71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.616160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Over48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over55c369.09$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c365.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c354.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under64c328.13$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1314949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over37c299.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4910234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over3c290.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.055018%9 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+127.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee02…ee9cbacked Over61c266.87$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over37c241$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.174447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over11c232.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.913441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2216…4a72backed Over68c209.91$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over70c202.86$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39c5…2dcdbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over63c183.4$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c168.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2457833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under67c165.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.341877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under58c149.63$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over69c142.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9380953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under31c122.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.584934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over28c107.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over29c86.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255334%18 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under69c78.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6614463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.317745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over32c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.455654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over37c67.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.843336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbed…0ff6backed Under31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+121%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under76c64.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.471693.8%15 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick68cpaid+44.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed Under64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over71c59.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427258.3%42 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c52.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.892,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over37c51.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.973633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3433551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Over70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.218059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9cc…59abbacked Over29c38.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-60.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94f8…4fb2backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2854…927cbacked Over55c34.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over38c32.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.462245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2e…498dbacked Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over36c30.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9722645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over69c29.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204475%33 W · 11 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Over37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05c…3634backed Over70c20.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under68c17.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.615373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d9e…80d6backed Under79c17.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Over67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.