TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf05c…3634

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$39.68
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$14.95
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$29.43
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$4.5
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$23.79
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$6.01
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.76
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$12.67
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$4.41
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.13
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$10.13
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$19.07
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$7.24
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$33.99
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26%+$19.37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$10.75
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$18.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$16.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$39.09
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.27
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$27.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+45.7%+$14.45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+50.8%+$7.57
Will Everton win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.4%+$7.59
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$5.62
Rams vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.19
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+34.7%+$4.59
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.5%+$3.25
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.47
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$3.89
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$30.97
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$5.25
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.7%+$11.94
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33%+$5.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.31
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.1%+$15.27
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.01
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.97
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$38.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$3.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+79.4%+$43.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+74.4%+$32.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$15.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$6.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.