La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18a838cabee7b5bc94ddd21f8ab4bf6da58ec686ed50596c0625b6aa80173dae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 58c | 877.24$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.58 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 561.03$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.78 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 549.46$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…7302backed Over | 42c | 470.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 51c | 373.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Over | 51c | 319$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Under | 69c | 291.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 57c | 173.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 39c | 152.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a2…8c84backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Over | 43c | 117.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 37c | 107.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Over | 46c | 101$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 58c | 61.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 41c | 47.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 78c | 46.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 62c | 30.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…d81fbacked Over | 42c | 25.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 63c | 21.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Under | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…3634backed Under | 72c | 18.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.