MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9c680830e3c7ec4292462d38680c3eeb26c17c7055f23a88c3bf08c32dbad89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Miami Marlins, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 32,674$18,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,823.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 21,644$9,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,987.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 18,737$10,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,098.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 17,972$8,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,097.28 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 17,319$8,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.39 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 12,176$6,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,844.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 9,999$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.45 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 7,075$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 6,698$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.98 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 6,597$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.98 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 6,446$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.84 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 5,776$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.21 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 4,927$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 4,576$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.9 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 4,551$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 3,742$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.15 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.62 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,430$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 1,368$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.31 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 1,222$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.33 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,034$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 989$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.16 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 944.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.69 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 925$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 752.82$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.53 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 724.54$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 629.2$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.02 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 622.22$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 602.79$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 588.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 538.71$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.41 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7937…a98bbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 525$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 519.37$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 494.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 473$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 467.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 438.59$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 414.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 412.21$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 408.68$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 392$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 373.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 365$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 339.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 324.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 308$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…74c8backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 298.89$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…081ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 276.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 258.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 234.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 234.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 230.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…8590backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 218.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…47dcbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 176.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 139.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 137.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 137$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 130.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 128.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8d…12d1backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 125.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 124.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 123.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 122.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 121.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 115.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 105.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 104.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 103.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 1.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 3.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.