MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e19b524253bd09a387a301edea0ac3a4687f6165204686eff2f9e748d324838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 55c | 221,818$121,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,840.04 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 85,481$40,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,527.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 55,211$28,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,709.58 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 45c | 50,802$22,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,941.1 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 53c | 41,466$21,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,912.27 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 25,737$11,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,932.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 45c | 18,234$8,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,028.7 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 17,759$8,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,879.18 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 15,312$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Under | 45c | 14,910$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200.51 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0569…f656backed Under | 45c | 13,053$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,179.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 12,932$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,457.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 12,788$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.76 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 11,655$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,408.22 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Over | 55c | 11,111$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.05 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Under | 45c | 8,675$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 8,559$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.33 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 45c | 8,107$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.81 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 53c | 7,497$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.4 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Under | 45c | 7,360$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Under | 45c | 6,704$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.47 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 5,477$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.17 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 5,462$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 14c | 4,854$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.51 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 45c | 2,646$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.46 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 45c | 2,646$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.46 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 54c | 2,005$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.68 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 1,773$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 1,393$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.13 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 45c | 1,323$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.65 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,200$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,192$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 45c | 1,077$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.51 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.83 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.09 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…b96cbacked Under | 48c | 995.89$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 48c | 957.45$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.08 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 946$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.68 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 48c | 938.66$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.1 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…64b5backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 48c | 709.49$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.54 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 45c | 645.96$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.28 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 45c | 645.96$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.28 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 624.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 564$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.03 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 534.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.16 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 46c | 489$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 477.45$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 23c | 444.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 47c | 405.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.87 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 45c | 382.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 54c | 380.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 319.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 311.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 53c | 306.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 9c | 285.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 46c | 276.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…74eebacked Under | 45c | 273.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 45c | 273.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 45c | 265.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 45c | 218.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Under | 47c | 212$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 45c | 210.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Under | 47c | 208.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 198.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 45c | 183.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 174.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 51c | 145$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Under | 45c | 144$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 51c | 134.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Over | 42c | 132.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 45c | 115.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 45c | 110.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 103.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 1.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 3.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.