NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27194867945586a2bc6c0f4206762c93dcb4db4cc43cefa783082d7ba1b13dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Rams, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chiefs | 51c | 75,672$38,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,847.88 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Rams | 49c | 40,692$19,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,752.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Rams | 60c | 29,075$17,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,580.36 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chiefs | 50c | 28,132$14,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,068.64 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Chiefs | 18c | 17,184$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.85 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Rams | 61c | 14,903$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.47 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Rams | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chiefs | 53c | 10,343$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.05 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Rams | 51c | 9,822$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chiefs | 21c | 8,134$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.19 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Chiefs | 54c | 8,083$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rams | 79c | 6,174$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.52 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Rams | 48c | 6,014$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rams | 48c | 5,656$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.29 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Chiefs | 48c | 3,894$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Rams | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Rams | 47c | 2,997$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chiefs | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chiefs | 54c | 2,314$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.56 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Chiefs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Rams | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chiefs | 37c | 1,921$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.66 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Rams | 44c | 1,666$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Chiefs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rams | 69c | 1,440$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.34 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…6f6ebacked Rams | 76c | 1,137$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Chiefs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chiefs | 63c | 785.46$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Rams | 49c | 768.5$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Chiefs | 55c | 756.26$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Rams | 38c | 714.9$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chiefs | 38c | 684.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.93 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Rams | 67c | 670.99$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rams | 66c | 661.75$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.54 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Chiefs | 47c | 612.06$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Chiefs | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Rams | 69c | 582$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Chiefs | 52c | 572.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Chiefs | 57c | 565.4$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Chiefs | 53c | 516$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Rams | 57c | 493.24$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Rams | 68c | 475.69$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rams | 55c | 447.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chiefs | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Chiefs | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Rams | 53c | 397.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chiefs | 54c | 390$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Chiefs | 10c | 349.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Chiefs | 48c | 330$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chiefs | 48c | 321$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Chiefs | 43c | 319$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…bf40backed Chiefs | 54c | 318.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chiefs | 9c | 310.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Rams | 70c | 310$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Chiefs | 53c | 305.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rams | 47c | 280.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Chiefs | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Chiefs | 52c | 267.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rams | 59c | 255.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rams | 68c | 255.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Chiefs | 12c | 233.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Rams | 44c | 227.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Rams | 69c | 220.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rams | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Chiefs | 55c | 191.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Rams | 80c | 182.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Chiefs | 53c | 180.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992d…75b7backed Rams | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Chiefs | 28c | 176.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…4dffbacked Rams | 45c | 164.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Chiefs | 24c | 150.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Rams | 68c | 139.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Chiefs | 36c | 136.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Chiefs | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chiefs | 38c | 121.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…48a6backed Rams | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Rams | 41c | 119$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Rams | 42c | 118.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chiefs | 54c | 117.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Rams | 51c | 116.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rams | 52c | 114.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Chiefs | 55c | 111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Rams | 50c | 110.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Rams | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Rams | 43c | 105.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Rams | 69c | 104.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Chiefs | 47c | 101.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Chiefs | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Rams | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Chiefs | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chiefs | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Rams | 57c | 96.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Rams | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Chiefs | 55c | 92.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ff9fbacked Chiefs | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Chiefs | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Chiefs | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chiefs | 16c | 81.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Chiefs | 55c | 73.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rams | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams vs. Chiefsthis page
- LA vs. KC: O/U 35.5Under won
- LA vs. KC: O/U 36.5Under won
- Spread: KC (-1.5)LA won
- Spread: KC (-2.5)LA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.