Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fdc27a9dad1bc8f523d18f11b4f95e14cea13a94a7a756833c6f990f0374852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 100,012$43,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,308.34 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 69c | 34,709$24,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,121.65 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 47c | 20,144$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,567.88 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 17,164$8,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,173.47 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 47c | 12,723$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.36 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 6,442$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.23 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 4,825$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 3,180$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 2,440$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.01 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,389$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.96 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.88 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 39c | 880.61$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 748$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.85 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Yes | 13c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 574.17$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.42 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 559.51$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 62c | 450.12$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…b9fdbacked Yes | 54c | 367.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 352.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…09bbbacked Yes | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 28c | 287.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 18c | 273.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…86a8backed Yes | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 15c | 222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 41c | 220.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 21c | 186.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd695…6d0abacked Yes | 54c | 162.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…b0febacked Yes | 58c | 148.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 148$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 39c | 76.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 49c | 42.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 38.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed No | 43c | 36.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 31.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 53c | 30.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 65c | 28.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…3634backed Yes | 50c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…8460backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd5…268cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.