Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83bc522a935f43e2f4c16c0f0e1eb73a673a530023bc8e2286a64f833e4ed90c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 64c | 60,000$38,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,678.99 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 33c | 27,252$8,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,259.04 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 3,243$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.99 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 3,034$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,067$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed No | 35c | 1,558$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Yes | 65c | 1,555$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.96 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed No | 76c | 955.8$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 601.72$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 516.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.06 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 506$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.57 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 476.69$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.47 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 17c | 431.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 427$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 12c | 341.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 61c | 330.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 315.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 35c | 303.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 44c | 285$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed No | 39c | 215$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 30c | 198.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 47c | 187$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 61c | 174.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 157.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…4453backed Yes | 7c | 145.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 11c | 125.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 66c | 125$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 45c | 108.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…d3aabacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…e227backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…4c8bbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 33c | 89.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 45c | 88.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 63c | 68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Yes | 63c | 61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 36c | 57.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 66c | 31.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…d243backed Yes | 65c | 20.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.