TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No6c32,175$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.1399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes69c12,272$8,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.371533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed Yes79c11,958$9,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.25366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No27c11,380$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.671723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No13c10,429$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.0257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes18c9,085$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,420.412948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes78c8,951$7,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.096235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed Yes73c6,908$5,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No24c6,129$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.3783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No11c5,677$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.093,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes18c5,363$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.666349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes74c5,334$3,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac3…e2c1backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed No32c4,695$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No26c4,433$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.3920142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No57c3,782$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes65c3,748$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.9212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes72c3,422$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.3822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes71c2,694$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.219154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed Yes70c2,446$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No28c2,074$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.6311342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed No31c1,969$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes74c1,791$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.09540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No26c1,782$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2540239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c1,660$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2160832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No12c1,632$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.944,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes19c1,541$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.497343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No27c1,426$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-83.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No9c1,400$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No8c1,380$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.194119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No28c1,379$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.37837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No29c1,181$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7518956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes18c1,152$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.414528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes72c1,131$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No2c1,112$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6915051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No28c1,096$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0241751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No3c1,056$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.141,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c2…5741backed Yes71c1,046$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes19c1,032$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes72c1,015$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No58c999$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.752352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes56c964.82$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yes70c946.47$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No15c935.33$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes71c932.7$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No27c925.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37a3…ee91backed Yes18c888$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.161421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No26c879.96$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.827238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Yes46c862.97$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.814452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes18c854.42$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.6269750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c776.89$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.2844039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No28c756.82$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6621950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No29c735.84$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2745841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes18c727.78$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.781030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No61c713$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9319247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x647a…8872backed Yes71c698.56$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No22c559$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4121139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes17c509.48$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.83050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No36c508.5$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.062147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9523…cbb2backed Yes19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504247.6%20 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+65.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No4c467.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes61c395.94$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8315540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No8c342$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed No30c337.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No34c322.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.934035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No32c309.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No21c306.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4910347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes19c305.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8219632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4595…b044backed Yes71c300.01$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes71c279.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes18c275.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0214525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes67c272.81$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes18c265.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.768450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ad…089abacked Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x487e…0d66backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c241$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes20c230.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.519237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No27c222$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.142147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No54c215.63$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.141020%2 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-70.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes45c214.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a0…6702backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes74c185.3$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.857842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes35c178.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.191435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+81.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes19c175$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.755448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No27c170$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes69c161.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5110254.9%56 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf4…5324backed Yes19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.89520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes48c154.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.414055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes65c149.53$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7827758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No27c146.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes19c142.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes69c142$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4958548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.