La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c6d4bb30fe378b00a74107ab88c5b0393af6a35054e035b21c854ed5cccbc31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 10,294$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.28 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 9,636$7,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.63 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 2,941$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 2,923$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 1,221$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,050$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Yes | 2c | 960.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 938.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 20c | 799.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 745.87$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 2c | 586.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 73c | 455.18$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 273$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed Yes | 4c | 263.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 73c | 248.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 6c | 243.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 24c | 230.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Yes | 22c | 217.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 75c | 193.29$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 188.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 186.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 8c | 147.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 9c | 131$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 130.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 27c | 117.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 18c | 107.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 101.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…486dbacked Yes | 22c | 96.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 18c | 94.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…9ea1backed Yes | 21c | 93.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 88.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3bc9backed Yes | 16c | 78.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 77.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…787dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked No | 72c | 71.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed No | 73c | 68.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed No | 71c | 62.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 21c | 50.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 39.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…ea9abacked Yes | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.