MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf87eedd605efd44455804dae31df4f0417cc12f97ffc50b1765db7b768f959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $584,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 142,627$68,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,166.28 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,600 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 60,066$32,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,435.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 55,414$25,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,819.45 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 49,587$30,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,543.7 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 22,222$10,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,555.44 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 21,000$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,339.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 19,866$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,354.57 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 17,677$9,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,273.1 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 15,437$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 14,500$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 7,500$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 5,275$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 5,124$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 5,002$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.88 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 4,784$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 4,301$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,213$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.75 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 4,099$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 3,058$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.43 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 2,922$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.81 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 2,680$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.14 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,434$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,340$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.85 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,127$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,864$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,116$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.72 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,014$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 999.91$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 930.87$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 864.38$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 850$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 840.08$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.73 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 800$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 774.76$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.24 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 770.55$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 18c | 750$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 703.7$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 698$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.62 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 666.42$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 649.71$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.84 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 644.84$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.38 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 604.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 576.44$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.28 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 524.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 522.06$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.79 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 512.03$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 506.25$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.94 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 502$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.81 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 494.13$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 470.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.19 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 440$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 400$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 359.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 355.8$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 348.85$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 75c | 346$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 321.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.64 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 313.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.26 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 275.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 263.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 260$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 260$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 250.91$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 246.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…809cbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 240.69$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 233.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b2e0backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 229.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 226$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 192.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 179.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 171.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 171.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 163$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 149.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 147.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 146.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 143.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.