MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947462d03676d5218e9de6a14adf30b329af563a8903f521ea2f0f4586bc1ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 212,582$112,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,603.3 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 74,413$35,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,392.19 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 47c | 51,000$23,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,030 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 29,074$13,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,409.22 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.98 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 16,768$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,856.17 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 53c | 15,996$8,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,578.02 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Over | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 7,787$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.57 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 19c | 7,689$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.96 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 5,410$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.25 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 5,145$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.85 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 3,722$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.44 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 2,542$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.13 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 1,971$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 1,545$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.3 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,517$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.35 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 1,161$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.73 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 975$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 973.99$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.47 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 816$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 47c | 748.3$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.6 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 652.14$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 652$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.04 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 596.49$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.44 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…22e2backed Over | 52c | 557.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 49c | 541$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 46c | 505.61$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.03 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 57c | 505.54$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 48c | 425.75$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 395$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 48c | 306.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 47c | 288$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 287.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 277.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 222.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 49c | 220.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 54c | 211.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 46c | 204.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 181.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Under | 68c | 173.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 48c | 170.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 49c | 165.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 147$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 47c | 127.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 45c | 127.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 47c | 119.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 47c | 89.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 48c | 83.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 47c | 77.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 49c | 71.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 50c | 69.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Over | 52c | 66.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 63.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 51c | 56.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…461bbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 48c | 52.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 50.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 46.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 54c | 45.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 47c | 44.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49a…c158backed Over | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 40.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 31.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 26.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…93afbacked Over | 42c | 25.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 420 | 41.9%176 W · 244 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…1196backed Over | 49c | 25.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa94…b3f4backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 78c | 21.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.