TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Ducksof Beijing Ducks, Guangdong Southern Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2775…3652backed Beijing Ducks74c3,881$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.142850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Guangdong Southern Tigers29c3,608$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa8…e9abbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers32c3,578$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Guangdong Southern Tigers25c3,320$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.9316828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Beijing Ducks69c3,081$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.9113545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Guangdong Southern Tigers27c2,994$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.736346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94cf…3db3backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c2,622$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Beijing Ducks71c2,603$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.995844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Beijing Ducks67c2,222$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.385360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers29c1,923$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.5124430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Beijing Ducks72c1,587$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.7237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Beijing Ducks70c1,436$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.971283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers31c1,413$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.211947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers27c1,371$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.781822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Guangdong Southern Tigers22c1,026$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Beijing Ducks70c936.17$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Beijing Ducks71c914.27$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.377462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Beijing Ducks73c900.17$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.963834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Beijing Ducks70c860.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c846.21$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.084165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Beijing Ducks71c810.44$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.653060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c803.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…ce69backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c666.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…d516backed Guangdong Southern Tigers21c552.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Beijing Ducks79c531.87$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.485648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Beijing Ducks74c517.24$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.167042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Guangdong Southern Tigers29c487.29$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.123342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Beijing Ducks70c478.94$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.355747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers32c439$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c413.39$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.755230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c413.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.076747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Beijing Ducks71c363.14$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.749946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Beijing Ducks69c358.31$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.832458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb911…8bb6backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Beijing Ducks72c310.16$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.491656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Beijing Ducks71c307.72$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.721080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c292.77$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.461915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-71.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Beijing Ducks65c290.47$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9821535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Beijing Ducks75c267.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c250$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.753743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Ducks74c248.27$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.998760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Guangdong Southern Tigers29c210.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.995752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Guangdong Southern Tigers27c206.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8213220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Beijing Ducks72c193.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1321444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Ducks69c188.67$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Beijing Ducks68c182.04$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Guangdong Southern Tigers7c182$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.043823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Beijing Ducks70c175.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.351338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46c0…14b4backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c161.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers31c161.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad43…1a69backed Guangdong Southern Tigers24c155.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Guangdong Southern Tigers15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53737.8%14 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Guangdong Southern Tigers35c143.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Beijing Ducks72c138.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.581662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers31c118.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Beijing Ducks78c109.59$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.345642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers26c108$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.382927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-61%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Beijing Ducks71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2913751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3127338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Beijing Ducks69c96.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.815152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Beijing Ducks79c92.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.263740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Guangdong Southern Tigers33c91.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.274245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c83.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2325517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers29c81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.495151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe52c…016abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+34%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Beijing Ducks74c77.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.441560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Guangdong Southern Tigers29c77.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.693735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-44.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Beijing Ducks69c74.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec6f…d511backed Beijing Ducks75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Beijing Ducks73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Beijing Ducks69c57.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.982475%18 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Beijing Ducks71c52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7975…fed0backed Guangdong Southern Tigers29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…c43cbacked Beijing Ducks76c51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Beijing Ducks67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Beijing Ducks73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.675666.1%37 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Beijing Ducks58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Beijing Ducks71c47.06$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7395…fdeebacked Beijing Ducks73c43.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.582356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Beijing Ducks69c42.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.174131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Beijing Ducks58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Guangdong Southern Tigers27c39.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089f…f599backed Beijing Ducks78c38.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers32c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1610947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Ducks69c37.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5235234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e16…c494backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Beijing Ducks58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Beijing Ducks73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.181353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb978…1fa3backed Guangdong Southern Tigers33c31.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Guangdong Southern Tigers36c29.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.685628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…6cd3backed Beijing Ducks72c27.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Beijing Ducks66c24.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.425565.5%36 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Beijing Ducks58c23.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.966450%32 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Beijing Ducks70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aab…cf18backed Beijing Ducks68c19.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Beijing Ducks65c16.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Beijing Ducks68c16.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.17850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Beijing Ducks64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.