TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over35c3,967$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.713,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under70c3,000$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.968949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c2,555$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.794,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over25c1,714$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over34c1,462$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over37c1,372$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.8344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c785.97$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under78c781.5$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9311648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Over6c682.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.94922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under66c605.15$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.737451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under67c599.97$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9914051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under68c588.6$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.616153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over20c565.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.312223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under67c550.4$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.45143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over42c449.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18935036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over23c432.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Over34c422.14$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.124337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under76c409.21$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2145248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Over43c397.86$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4129030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under64c296.74$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6918435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under65c273.49$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.093,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over42c255.86$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.347237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over32c240$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.840848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b7…c4d2backed Under79c206$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.265664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Under69c203.07$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.071952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over42c188.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.778261%50 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba3e…4cbcbacked Under80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over23c184.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed Under79c164$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.665356.6%30 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under59c160$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.423440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9234851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under58c139.4$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.557136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under65c137.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.882,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over39c134.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.637245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under66c134.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.826747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Over41c134.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4413844.2%61 W · 77 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over48c133.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4620560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Under69c129.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0743246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c126.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5813548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under80c125.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.312964.3%83 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under77c120.6$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.661,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344e…9c1ebacked Over22c114.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over29c107.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3119047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over43c94.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9969744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…d972backed Under70c90.26$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.762161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over22c88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.288058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9539752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over22c75.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6414335.7%51 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over14c74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5335848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked Over42c65.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.573737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over32c65.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8434330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over33c64.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.181,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under65c61.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.512,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under79c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.512252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over42c56.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6811364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf21b…c816backed Over33c55.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…3755backed Under78c54.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under73c51.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1119862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Over21c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.517737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under66c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under68c46.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8517442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9456…af0cbacked Under67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.786264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over34c43.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x843a…e96abacked Under59c33.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.895100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under62c32.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6390840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.385578.2%43 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.220053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Under64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under76c26.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4514766%97 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under65c25.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e65…d1d3backed Under79c22.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.783174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc449…adfabacked Under79c21.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.820047%94 W · 106 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec83…7014backed Under66c18.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1815447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under63c16.47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x686b…ea8fbacked Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe2…4ce4backed Under79c14.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.519856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.