Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64bbfbdabce1f61163eaf35e6351ae2dcca7c75e16638c8acba463af1e3989a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ecuadorof Ecuador, Guatemala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Guatemala | 40c | 13,420$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.14 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Ecuador | 54c | 3,368$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.33 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Ecuador | 57c | 3,300$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Ecuador | 63c | 2,796$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.45 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ecuador | 68c | 2,020$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Guatemala | 46c | 1,859$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.03 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Ecuador | 58c | 1,713$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.9 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ecuador | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Guatemala | 37c | 1,356$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.82 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Guatemala | 32c | 1,137$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.63 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ecuador | 67c | 1,114$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.57 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Ecuador | 59c | 1,045$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.5 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Ecuador | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Ecuador | 68c | 831.74$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.74 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Ecuador | 62c | 803.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.11 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Guatemala | 40c | 711.2$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Ecuador | 68c | 666.84$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guatemala | 39c | 650$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.69 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Ecuador | 71c | 565.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Guatemala | 31c | 562.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Guatemala | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Guatemala | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.18 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Guatemala | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 29.9%41 W · 96 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Ecuador | 62c | 471.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Guatemala | 39c | 465.28$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Guatemala | 37c | 460.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ecuador | 58c | 432.47$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Ecuador | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Ecuador | 67c | 392.01$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Guatemala | 36c | 360$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Ecuador | 57c | 323.57$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ecuador | 64c | 299.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Guatemala | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Guatemala | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Guatemala | 34c | 225$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Ecuador | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Guatemala | 46c | 179$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…f866backed Ecuador | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Guatemala | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…107cbacked Ecuador | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Guatemala | 41c | 127.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Ecuador | 64c | 126.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Ecuador | 59c | 124.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Ecuador | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Guatemala | 36c | 106.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Ecuador | 64c | 102.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Guatemala | 46c | 93.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Ecuador | 71c | 89.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Guatemala | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Guatemala | 46c | 76.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Guatemala | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Guatemala | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Guatemala | 32c | 68.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Guatemala | 33c | 63.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Ecuador | 64c | 62.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…2402backed Guatemala | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guatemala | 35c | 52.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Guatemala | 33c | 50.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Ecuador | 61c | 49.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…4c96backed Guatemala | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Guatemala | 40c | 46.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Guatemala | 33c | 45.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Ecuador | 57c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Ecuador | 59c | 41.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Guatemala | 39c | 40.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Guatemala | 35c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Ecuador | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Guatemala | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Ecuador | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Guatemala | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Ecuador | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Ecuador | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…6399backed Guatemala | 45c | 26.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Ecuador | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Ecuador | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Ecuador | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Ecuador | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)this page
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.