Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc511bcaa2cba220d5c16a3af92b415baf181cefcd053648179685f6acfe461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 25c | 2,371$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 1,255$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.72 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 37c | 815.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 760.25$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 496.32$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 450.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…8773backed No | 74c | 405.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed No | 79c | 381.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked No | 67c | 374.63$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 36c | 357.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed No | 64c | 279.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 65c | 266.31$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 62c | 197.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 192.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 63c | 167.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 64c | 138.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 136.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 65c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 84.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…785bbacked Yes | 29c | 72.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 33c | 60.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 57.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…1b84backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c7…19e7backed No | 66c | 45.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 35c | 34.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…bc90backed No | 66c | 22.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…a723backed No | 66c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…9447backed No | 64c | 20.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…aec4backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.