Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8645e58404ba2ca50f067de78d4e891a4b3e750277e9408dfbc4e915f20364a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 6,039$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 5,883$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 38c | 3,119$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 56c | 2,289$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.28 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 57c | 1,401$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.18 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 43c | 1,138$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Over | 55c | 1,060$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.79 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 42c | 1,054$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.88 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 62c | 985.12$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 851.15$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.08 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 720.31$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 598.19$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Under | 18c | 486.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Under | 52c | 481.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 464.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 41c | 424.51$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 31c | 413.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 402.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 52c | 393.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 56c | 358.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 352$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 137 | 29.9%41 W · 96 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 59c | 342.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 34c | 322.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 77c | 287.13$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa505…c985backed Under | 51c | 284.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 50c | 275.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 257.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 47c | 253.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 54c | 235.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Under | 59c | 232.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 232.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 34c | 231.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 41c | 212.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Under | 47c | 206.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 31c | 175.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 57c | 174.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 159.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 51c | 157.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 51c | 156.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 52c | 152.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 138.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 42c | 134.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 54c | 131.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…ad68backed Over | 58c | 131.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 56c | 128.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 22c | 123$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…c187backed Under | 53c | 112$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…6f72backed Under | 54c | 111.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…fdb6backed Under | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Over | 51c | 98.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 53c | 96.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 57c | 88.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 41c | 86.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…c816backed Over | 53c | 84.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 82.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 81.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 57c | 81.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 80.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 79.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…7d30backed Under | 20c | 77.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 51c | 73.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 68.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 50c | 67.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 56c | 65.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 62.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 55c | 60.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 60.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 36c | 60.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 58.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…ab72backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 47c | 42.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 44c | 41.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 51c | 40.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.