TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c6,039$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c5,883$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.573,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over38c3,119$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over56c2,289$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.2837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over57c1,401$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.1889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under43c1,138$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.992737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Over55c1,060$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.795242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under42c1,054$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.881283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over62c985.12$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.351566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.53873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under48c851.15$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.082,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under78c800$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6248949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over56c720.31$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.872,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c598.19$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1921747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb871…1cb8backed Under18c486.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.668742.5%37 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under52c481.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c464.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under41c424.51$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9534330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under31c413.42$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1785550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under42c402.19$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.951,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over52c393.95$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5233843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over56c358.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9512250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c352$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over59c342.08$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2513253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under34c322.22$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.751,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over77c287.13$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.420560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa505…c985backed Under51c284.48$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7816547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under50c275.26$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6311065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c257.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1610740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over47c253.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3211027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under54c235.24$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Under59c232.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over52c232.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.311,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over34c231.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8910050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under41c212.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under47c206.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4625454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8631553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under31c175.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.031,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over57c174.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6428258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c159.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.650450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under51c157.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over51c156.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2718040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under52c152.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0819448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under51c138.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.539456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under42c134.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3618435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over54c131.16$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4169744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed Over58c131.03$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.036349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over56c128.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.64744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under22c123$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.062,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb6…c187backed Under53c112$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.364479.5%35 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8493…6f72backed Under54c111.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…fdb6backed Under50c101$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.52425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477131%22 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4910728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa96…fafcbacked Over51c98.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.212365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over53c96.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1811965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under13c93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6912550.4%63 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over57c88.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0711952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over52c88.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4622466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under41c86.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5841344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.214156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21b…c816backed Over53c84.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.481936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under50c82.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2812750.4%64 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c81.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4368141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over57c81.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.113339.8%53 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over31c80.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2328964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c79.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.953,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3115059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ab…7d30backed Under20c77.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.497544%33 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under51c73.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6323658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c68.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under50c67.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.812252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under52c67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8710540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over56c65.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8511364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7620150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c62.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62f…fca5backed Over50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over55c60.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3736329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c60.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.962,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under36c60.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Under67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.23435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c58.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.251,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb654…7be3backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.513850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88cb…ab72backed Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204311.6%5 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-56%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under47c42.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under44c41.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1690840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under51c40.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5413548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68261%50 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce38…2513backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.