TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nick Hardtof Bruno Fernandez, Nick Hardt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Nick Hardt55c17,197$9,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,660.428,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bruno Fernandez41c15,878$6,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,456.0311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Nick Hardt79c14,747$11,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.664,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Bruno Fernandez31c14,370$4,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,488.357236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Bruno Fernandez49c12,079$5,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,918.0442131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Nick Hardt56c10,523$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,630.017040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bruno Fernandez35c6,432$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.346,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Bruno Fernandez51c3,660$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.2733037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Nick Hardt54c3,616$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.4710954.1%59 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Nick Hardt60c3,506$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.123354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Bruno Fernandez8c3,475$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.682213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nick Hardt77c3,257$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.845,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Nick Hardt59c2,662$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.294757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bruno Fernandez39c2,500$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.689,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Nick Hardt51c2,445$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.9470041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Bruno Fernandez26c2,287$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2119938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Bruno Fernandez31c2,258$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70054541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bruno Fernandez8c2,103$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…d6ebbacked Nick Hardt50c2,083$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.511059.1%65 W · 45 L+0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nick Hardt64c1,990$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.632,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Bruno Fernandez15c1,942$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.761,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Bruno Fernandez12c1,855$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Bruno Fernandez28c1,793$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51035450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5098…48debacked Bruno Fernandez49c1,638$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.072147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nick Hardt68c1,598$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.324,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x466a…76e7backed Nick Hardt78c1,539$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Nick Hardt51c1,523$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.2119740.6%80 W · 117 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Bruno Fernandez38c1,299$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Bruno Fernandez14c1,263$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9390335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Bruno Fernandez56c1,217$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68024961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024f…1c51backed Bruno Fernandez26c1,125$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.064526.7%12 W · 33 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Bruno Fernandez45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Nick Hardt50c1,048$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5245947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Bruno Fernandez38c1,026$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39024844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Bruno Fernandez17c1,019$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9719410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Bruno Fernandez17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Bruno Fernandez16c999.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.352,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Nick Hardt76c925.11$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0352152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Nick Hardt54c924.07$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0771725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Bruno Fernandez8c868.54$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0752910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Bruno Fernandez46c847.83$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Bruno Fernandez60c800.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Nick Hardt75c797.82$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4380153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce60…f989backed Bruno Fernandez36c785.78$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.371816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nick Hardt60c760.63$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.062,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Bruno Fernandez44c757.44$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.4211963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bruno Fernandez36c735.95$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.844,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Nick Hardt73c726.03$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Bruno Fernandez44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nick Hardt52c675.1$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.764,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Nick Hardt60c673.3$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8785449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9c…cf78backed Bruno Fernandez23c644.28$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3911131.5%35 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Bruno Fernandez19c631.58$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Bruno Fernandez51c627.16$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.379544.2%42 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nick Hardt68c622.51$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.73,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Bruno Fernandez32c612.72$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0743062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Bruno Fernandez16c560$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.661924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Nick Hardt63c536.81$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2213852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Nick Hardt55c530$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.744949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Nick Hardt58c520.02$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.771,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bruno Fernandez42c500$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.774,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Bruno Fernandez46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23047956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bruno Fernandez9c474.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.92,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Bruno Fernandez10c469.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.925448.4%123 W · 131 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Bruno Fernandez29c448.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.791,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nick Hardt66c407.48$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.512,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Bruno Fernandez70c392.2$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.223850%19 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Nick Hardt48c388$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9979052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bruno Fernandez70c385.74$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.694,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Nick Hardt75c383.23$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3324762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Nick Hardt59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9831656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Bruno Fernandez17c337.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4326134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Bruno Fernandez69c337$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7745850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Bruno Fernandez41c328.38$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.276,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Bruno Fernandez40c324.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9684857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Bruno Fernandez48c323.53$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1411130.6%34 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Bruno Fernandez63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20086470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Nick Hardt76c308.26$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9852155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Bruno Fernandez34c306.45$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.566,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Bruno Fernandez36c295$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.771,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Nick Hardt57c294.61$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.682857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+85.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7422…8a59backed Bruno Fernandez39c291.95$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.917546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Nick Hardt38c288.12$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4115039.3%59 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Nick Hardt51c286.39$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3370456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Bruno Fernandez70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-51.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nick Hardt49c282.35$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.351,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Nick Hardt61c280.64$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bruno Fernandez32c276$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.731,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nick Hardt68c268.92$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.761,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nick Hardt74c266.27$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.023,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Bruno Fernandez39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013137.4%49 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Bruno Fernandez17c251.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2191051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00c…efc3backed Bruno Fernandez43c248.07$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.674141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nick Hardt62c247.04$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.646,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Bruno Fernandez6c242.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Nick Hardt67c239.01$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.581,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Bruno Fernandez44c234.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10243334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nick Hardt64c232.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.843,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Nick Hardt64c230.38$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.121,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Bruno Fernandez42c227.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957162%44 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.