Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7acfcaaa6abd1834956e0c6b5b383b78e011bd757e9991963be2d73472b4487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnof Shelton, Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Shelton | 56c | 17,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.91 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Shelton | 55c | 8,141$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Quinn | 44c | 6,002$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.85 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Shelton | 55c | 3,622$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Quinn | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Quinn | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Quinn | 44c | 2,727$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.27 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Quinn | 44c | 2,445$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.22 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Quinn | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Quinn | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.32 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Quinn | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Quinn | 44c | 1,125$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Quinn | 50c | 1,010$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.01 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Quinn | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Quinn | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Quinn | 44c | 729.32$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.42 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Quinn | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shelton | 49c | 498.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Quinn | 39c | 473.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.7 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Shelton | 54c | 459.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Quinn | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Quinn | 44c | 390.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Quinn | 44c | 296.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Shelton | 61c | 277.73$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Quinn | 50c | 266.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Shelton | 53c | 229.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Quinn | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Shelton | 69c | 191.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Quinn | 45c | 190$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Quinn | 44c | 185.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Shelton | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Shelton | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Shelton | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Quinn | 44c | 177.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Quinn | 44c | 172.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Shelton | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Shelton | 56c | 132.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Quinn | 44c | 121.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Quinn | 45c | 114.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Shelton | 54c | 110.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Quinn | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Quinn | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Quinn | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Quinn | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Quinn | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Shelton | 53c | 99.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Quinn | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Quinn | 44c | 93.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Shelton | 54c | 92.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Shelton | 66c | 90.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Quinn | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Quinn | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Quinn | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Shelton | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Quinn | 44c | 45.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…4500backed Shelton | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Shelton | 54c | 40.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Quinn | 44c | 40.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Quinn | 47c | 38.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Quinn | 40c | 35.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…3535backed Shelton | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Quinn | 47c | 22.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Shelton | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Shelton | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 31.6%54 W · 117 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…e1a3backed Shelton | 56c | 18.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)this page
- Ben Shelton vs. Ethan Quinn: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan QuinnBen Shelton won
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs QuinnShelton won
- Shelton vs. Quinn: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Quinn: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.