Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Gill (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ee1bd7bfca90e04690be2777a125b229603a06bef27506d0fc43f35f647aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jodarof Jodar, Gill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Jodar | 48c | 1,503$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.6 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Gill | 59c | 1,179$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jodar | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.07 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Jodar | 40c | 498.74$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.24 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Gill | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gill | 47c | 362.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Gill | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jodar | 52c | 262.29$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gill | 55c | 248.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Gill | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Gill | 54c | 184.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jodar | 77c | 177.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Gill | 53c | 164.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Gill | 64c | 143.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gill | 25c | 142$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…90fcbacked Gill | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Jodar | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Jodar | 45c | 112$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Jodar | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…5648backed Jodar | 44c | 108.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Jodar | 46c | 105.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gill | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Gill | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jodar | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Gill | 55c | 93.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Gill | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Jodar | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Gill | 49c | 79.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Jodar | 51c | 79.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Gill | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Gill | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Jodar | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…6ce3backed Jodar | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…1ac8backed Gill | 53c | 37.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Gill | 53c | 36.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Jodar | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Jodar | 42c | 23.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Gill | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Gill | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Gill (+2.5)this page
- Rafael Jodar vs. Felix Gill: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs GillJodar won
- Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs GillJodar won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Gill (+1.5)Jodar won
- Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix GillRafael Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.