TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rafael Jodarof Rafael Jodar, Felix Gill
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c50…e0c9backed Felix Gill6c18,115$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1342131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Felix Gill16c14,941$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.06120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Felix Gill15c4,520$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.872,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Felix Gill18c4,403$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.985,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Felix Gill15c4,208$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.193,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Felix Gill5c4,071$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Felix Gill15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Felix Gill15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Felix Gill16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Felix Gill15c2,961$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.552,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Felix Gill15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40043743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Felix Gill14c2,558$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.174,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Felix Gill9c2,519$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.722,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Felix Gill4c2,096$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3626921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Felix Gill17c2,000$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.72,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Felix Gill5c1,860$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Felix Gill16c1,795$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2578536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Felix Gill2c1,664$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Felix Gill12c1,515$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.236,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Felix Gill15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Felix Gill11c1,289$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7996945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Felix Gill16c1,020$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9592237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Felix Gill16c999.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Felix Gill4c892.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.698,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Felix Gill7c847.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.71,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Felix Gill17c764$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8844442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Felix Gill15c752.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Felix Gill17c750$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Felix Gill12c730.43$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.311,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Felix Gill5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Felix Gill16c599.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Felix Gill17c598.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.729441.5%39 W · 55 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c3…90fcbacked Felix Gill5c540.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Felix Gill15c540$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8164540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Felix Gill11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Felix Gill15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7585634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Felix Gill17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8526541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Felix Gill15c480$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Felix Gill12c459$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0872755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Felix Gill19c435.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.83100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Felix Gill16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Felix Gill16c381.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7263537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Felix Gill8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Felix Gill17c360$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Felix Gill16c356.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Felix Gill16c356.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.989913.1%13 W · 86 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Felix Gill15c333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.957,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Felix Gill12c327.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.375350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Felix Gill16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Felix Gill17c312$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0445744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Felix Gill12c309.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6740350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Felix Gill12c301$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1227353.1%145 W · 128 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Felix Gill11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3389850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Felix Gill16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Felix Gill7c258.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.324229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Felix Gill19c254.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3417158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Felix Gill16c241.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4128237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Felix Gill17c221$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5781047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Felix Gill5c217$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.859013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Felix Gill5c210$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Felix Gill16c207.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2127836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Felix Gill15c203.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4748842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Felix Gill15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0243…b5a5backed Felix Gill16c193.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.941625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Felix Gill14c185.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9773748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Felix Gill15c176$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.455748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Felix Gill12c157$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8429551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Felix Gill12c154$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.488354.2%45 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Felix Gill12c150.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7943552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Felix Gill17c140$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.621,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Felix Gill16c133.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.331526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Felix Gill11c127.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0587060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Felix Gill15c125$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7535641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Felix Gill17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba56…140dbacked Felix Gill12c101$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Rafael Jodar79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2135457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Felix Gill12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7534650.6%175 W · 171 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Felix Gill12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7520850%104 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Felix Gill12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Felix Gill17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.785637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Felix Gill17c81.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.643952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Felix Gill16c77.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4872638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Felix Gill17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5548245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Felix Gill19c59.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3652910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.