NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedf1d3e5aab11a87b4183954811c3ee8d7b15fad7bbfb0fee778d2e05bd8c637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,028$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 50c | 2,012$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…ab8abacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked No | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…7f60backed Yes | 59c | 1,097$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 50c | 999.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.03 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 49c | 683.47$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.11 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 47c | 629.13$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed No | 54c | 499.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 43c | 409.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed No | 57c | 340.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 52c | 243.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Yes | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 46c | 209.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…bbd0backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked No | 31c | 174.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 51c | 157.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0484backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 27c | 151.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed No | 57c | 149.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 49c | 140.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 50c | 125.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…90a1backed No | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked No | 55c | 109.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Yes | 49c | 102.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb563…7465backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked No | 55c | 96.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Yes | 53c | 94.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f3…d3e7backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 19c | 76.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 55c | 72.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 54c | 64.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 49c | 64.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 52c | 57.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…1ab8backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…3e35backed No | 57c | 52.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked No | 57c | 52.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed No | 54c | 51.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…34a1backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Yes | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked No | 33c | 37.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed No | 55c | 36.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed No | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…67a6backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked No | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 47c | 30.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad5…c8a9backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 45c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 48c | 27.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…7d91backed Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…3676backed No | 50c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…9849backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…626abacked Yes | 49c | 23.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 52c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…dd5abacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 68c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.