Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad0cafdf210f5da081cb16aa13cb09e12aa859ae05ec347f2fff3b314b3d49b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Kostyuk, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Kostyuk | 36c | 39,015$14,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,044.93 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Andreeva | 64c | 31,218$19,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,234.67 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Andreeva | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 527 | 44.6%235 W · 292 L | +30.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Andreeva | 64c | 4,861$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.94 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Andreeva | 65c | 1,072$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.53 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Andreeva | 64c | 867.19$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andreeva | 64c | 820$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kostyuk | 36c | 605.27$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Andreeva | 64c | 584.17$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Kostyuk | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed Andreeva | 63c | 528.52$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.55 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Andreeva | 65c | 515.09$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.28 | 990 | 49.4%489 W · 501 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Kostyuk | 35c | 457.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kostyuk | 36c | 417$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Andreeva | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Andreeva | 63c | 300.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 843 | 49.8%420 W · 423 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Kostyuk | 34c | 287.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Andreeva | 65c | 279.35$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kostyuk | 35c | 269.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Kostyuk | 37c | 237.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kostyuk | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Kostyuk | 34c | 170.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Andreeva | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Andreeva | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Kostyuk | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Kostyuk | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Andreeva | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Andreeva | 64c | 109.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Kostyuk | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Andreeva | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 359 | 61.6%221 W · 138 L | +40.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Andreeva | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Andreeva | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Andreeva | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Kostyuk | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Andreeva | 64c | 58.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Kostyuk | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Andreeva | 58c | 51.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Kostyuk | 42c | 51.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 373 | 36.5%136 W · 237 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…2c9ebacked Kostyuk | 37c | 51.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…456cbacked Andreeva | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Andreeva | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…fe32backed Kostyuk | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Andreeva | 66c | 32.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Andreeva | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Andreeva | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Kostyuk | 37c | 27.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Andreeva | 64c | 26.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Andreeva | 64c | 23.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 726 | 61.8%449 W · 277 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed Andreeva | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Andreeva | 64c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Andreeva | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Andreeva | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Andreeva | 66c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a93…82b5backed Andreeva | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)this page
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs AndreevaAndreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.