Tennis · resolved market
Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11724ec0edc55e2222dedf71f44622c424b94560524c9c4d70f735d41241816b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 788.6$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.66 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Over 2.5 | 46c | 714.38$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.61 | 546 | 41.6%227 W · 319 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 682.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Under 2.5 | 58c | 504.93$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.07 | 452 | 51.8%234 W · 218 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 473.29$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 449.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 371.53$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 355.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 202.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…e32cbacked Over 2.5 | 9c | 193.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…ced8backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 152.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 109.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 109.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 101$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 90.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 73.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5b…0b0ebacked Over 2.5 | 27c | 69.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over 2.5 | 52c | 63.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over 2.5 | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 46.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Over 2.5 | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under 2.5 | 75c | 33.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…4c24backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 32.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 31.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over 2.5 | 39c | 30.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 28.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 2.5 | 79c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs AndreevaAndreeva won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.